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Photo: TheSereneRebel
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Indian Premier League · 2024 · Men
5 May 2024 · T20
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala · Venue photographRecorded result
Chennai Super Kings started on 54%; Chennai Super Kings batted first.
Chennai Super Kings's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Punjab Kings: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajinkya Rahanecaught · Kagiso Rabada · Arshdeep Singh1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kagiso Rabada · b Arshdeep Singh | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Ruturaj Gaikwadcaught · Jitesh Sharma · Rahul Chahar 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jitesh Sharma · b Rahul Chahar | 32 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 152.38 |
| Daryl Mitchelllbw · Harshal Patel 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Harshal Patel | 30 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 157.89 |
 Shivam Dubecaught · Jitesh Sharma · Rahul Chahar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jitesh Sharma · b Rahul Chahar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Jonny Bairstow · b Sam Curran |
| 17 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 85.00 |
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Sam Curran · Arshdeep Singh3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Arshdeep Singh | 43 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 165.38 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Sam Curran · Rahul Chahar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Rahul Chahar | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shardul Thakurbowled · Harshal Patel 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Harshal Patel | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 154.55 |
|---|
| MS Dhonibowled · Harshal Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harshal Patel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tushar Deshpandenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Richard Gleesonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Arshdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Harpreet Brar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahul Chahar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Harshal Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-12 (Ajinkya Rahane, 1.5) · 2-69 (Ruturaj Gaikwad, 7.1) · 3-69 (Shivam Dube, 7.2) · 4-75 (Daryl Mitchell, 8.5) · 5-101 (Moeen Ali, 12.4) · 6-122 (Mitchell Santner, 16.0) · 7-150 (Shardul Thakur, 18.4) · 8-150 (MS Dhoni, 18.5) · 9-164 (Ravindra Jadeja, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 19 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 90/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 99/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 103/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 109/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 117/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 122/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 136/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 149/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 151/8 |
| 20 | 16 | 167/9 |
Rilee Rossouw: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tushar Deshpande: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Ajinkya Rahane: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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