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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 43%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Durham: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Matthew Potts | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b Kasey Aldridge | 43 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 116.22 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Callum Parkinson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| James Whartonbowled · Ben Raine 8 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 64 | 41 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 156.10 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b Kasey Aldridge | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafcaught · Will Rhodes · Kasey Aldridge 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Rhodes · b Kasey Aldridge | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Ben Raine | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Matthew Potts | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 237.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Potts | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Adam Lyth, 1.3) · 2-9 (William Luxton, 2.4) · 3-78 (Jonny Bairstow, 12.0) · 4-89 (Moeen Ali, 14.1) · 5-124 (James Wharton, 16.5) · 6-126 (Fahim Ashraf, 17.2) · 7-129 (Hasan Ali, 18.1) · 8-151 (Matt Revis, 19.5) · 9-151 (Dominic Bess, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 36/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 46/2 |
| 10 | 15 | 61/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 70/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 78/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 89/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 98/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 111/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 124/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 129/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 145/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 151/9 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.