OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: SounderBruce
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2024 · Men
1 Jun 2024 · T20
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 19%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 0% to 84% during the match (United States of America: 16% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Johnsoncaught · Nitish Kumar · Harmeet Singh 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nitish Kumar · b Harmeet Singh | 23 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 143.75 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalcaught · Jasdeep Singh · Corey Anderson 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Corey Anderson | 61 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 138.64 |
| Pargat Singhrun out · Monank Patel, Jasdeep Singh · Shadley van Schalkwyk 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Monank Patel, Jasdeep Singh | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · Corey Anderson · Ali Khan 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Corey Anderson · b Ali Khan | 51 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 164.52 |
| Shreyas Movvanot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 32* | 16 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Dilpreet Bajwarun out · Steven Taylor, Monank Patel · Corey Anderson 1 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Steven Taylor, Monank Patel |
| 11 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 220.00 |
| Dillon Heyligernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ali Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Aaron Johnson, 5.2) · 2-66 (Pargat Singh, 8.0) · 3-128 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 14.1) · 4-159 (Nicholas Kirton, 17.5) · 5-173 (Dilpreet Bajwa, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 43/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 15 | 85/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 102/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 112/2 |
| 14 | 16 | 128/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 137/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 149/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 155/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 159/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 173/5 |
| 20 | 21 | 194/5 |
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Nikhil Dutta: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
