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Viking Cup · 2025 · Men
10 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 25%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 0% to 26% during the match (Austria: 74% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khizer Ahmedcaught · Bilal Zalmai · Umair Tariq0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bilal Zalmai · b Umair Tariq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| D Abeyrathnacaught · Imran Asif · Baseer Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Asif · b Baseer Khan | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Walid Ghauricaught · Ziaurahman Shinwari · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ziaurahman Shinwari · b Umair Tariq | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Qamar Mushtaquenot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 44* | 46 | 4 | 1 | 95.65 |
| Faisal Razalbw · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Umair Tariq | 1 | 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| M Shahbaz Buttbowled · Aqib Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aqib Iqbal | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Vishal Sharma (2)caught · Umair Tariq · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Umair Tariq · b Bilal Zalmai | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rahimicaught · Aqib Iqbal · Ziaurahman Shinwari 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Aqib Iqbal · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 23 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ahmadullah Shinwaricaught · Karanbir Singh · Ziaurahman Shinwari 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Vinay Ravicaught · A Randhawa · Ziaurahman Shinwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Randhawa · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Adnan Shnwareicaught · Arsalan Arif · Ziaurahman Shinwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arsalan Arif · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umair Tariq1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 2.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Baseer Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ziaurahman Shinwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 6.95 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Khizer Ahmed, 0.1) · 2-5 (Walid Ghauri, 2.1) · 3-10 (D Abeyrathna, 3.2) · 4-14 (Faisal Raza, 4.1) · 5-32 (M Shahbaz Butt, 7.5) · 6-37 (Vishal Sharma (2), 8.3) · 7-79 (Ibrahim Rahimi, 15.1) · 8-85 (Ahmadullah Shinwari, 16.0) · 9-91 (Vinay Ravi, 17.5) · 10-105 (Adnan Shnwarei, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 12/3 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 23/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 25/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 32/5 |
| 9 | 13 | 45/6 |
| 10 | 7 | 52/6 |
| 11 | 9 | 61/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 62/6 |
| 13 | 1 | 63/6 |
| 14 | 13 | 76/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 79/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 85/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 88/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 91/9 |
| 19 | 14 | 105/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 105/10 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
