Sharjah WarriorzversusDesert Vipers

22 Jan 2025 · T20

Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 10 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz19.1 overs91/10 Desert Vipers10.0 overs95/0 Dubai International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 41%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (Desert Vipers: 55% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: Mohammad Amir to J Charles, J Charles out. Desert Vipers up from 55% to 67%.
0.6: Mohammad Amir to WIA Fernando, WIA Fernando out. Desert Vipers up from 67% to 77%.
3.4: DA Payne to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Desert Vipers up from 82% to 92%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz91/10 Desert Vipers95/0

Innings 1