OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Maghan mal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's Championship · 2026 · Women
4 May 2026 · ODI
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 64%; Pakistan batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadaf Shamascaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · Precious Marange 17 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b Precious Marange | 98 | 130 | 17 | 0 | 75.38 |
| Gull Ferozabowled · K Chigora 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 50 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Sidra Ameencaught · C Mutasa · Nomvelo Sibanda 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Mutasa · b Nomvelo Sibanda | 67 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 113.56 |
| Ayesha Zafarbowled · Precious Marange 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Precious Marange | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Aliya Riazcaught · A Zimunu · Precious Marange 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Zimunu · b Precious Marange | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
Pakistan's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 37%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 56* |
| 30 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 186.67 |
| Fatima Sananot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 366.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 28 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Chigora0 maidens · 16 wides · 1 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 8.67 | 16 | 1 |
| C Mutasa0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Precious Marange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
| M Mavunga0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 8.83 | 2 | 0 |
1-162 (Gull Feroza, 28.2) · 2-195 (Sadaf Shamas, 33.3) · 3-209 (Ayesha Zafar, 36.0) · 4-219 (Aliya Riaz, 39.1) · 5-315 (Sidra Ameen, 48.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 49/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 59/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 68/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 72/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 75/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 78/0 |
| 14 | 3 | 81/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 89/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 91/0 |
| 17 | 12 | 103/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 107/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 113/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 118/0 |
| 21 | 7 | 125/0 |
| 22 | 4 | 129/0 |
| 23 | 5 | 134/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 134/0 |
| 25 | 7 | 141/0 |
| 26 | 5 | 146/0 |
| 27 | 7 | 153/0 |
| 28 | 3 | 156/0 |
| 29 | 12 | 168/1 |
| 30 | 7 | 175/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 180/1 |
| 32 | 6 | 186/1 |
| 33 | 9 | 195/1 |
| 34 | 1 | 196/2 |
| 35 | 11 | 207/2 |
| 36 | 2 | 209/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 212/3 |
| 38 | 3 | 215/3 |
| 39 | 4 | 219/3 |
| 40 | 4 | 223/4 |
| 41 | 4 | 227/4 |
| 42 | 5 | 232/4 |
| 43 | 10 | 242/4 |
| 44 | 12 | 254/4 |
| 45 | 14 | 268/4 |
| 46 | 22 | 290/4 |
| 47 | 8 | 298/4 |
| 48 | 13 | 311/4 |
| 49 | 8 | 319/5 |
| 50 | 11 | 330/5 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}