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Central American Cricket Championships · 2025 · Men
19 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Panama more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Panama started on 61%; Panama batted first.
Panama's chances ranged from 12% to 86% during the match (Mexico: 14% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Jayeshbhai Patelcaught · D Panda · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Panda · b Pratik Singh Bais | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Meet Ahirbowled · Shashikant Laxman 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shashikant Laxman | 19 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 86.36 |
| Breeze Ahircaught · Pratik Singh Bais · DV Devjani Mutreja 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pratik Singh Bais · b DV Devjani Mutreja | 15 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 65.22 |
| LR Gaonkarcaught · Sanjay Wagh · Shashikant Laxman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Wagh · b Shashikant Laxman | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| A Natubhai Ahircaught · Shantanu Kaveri · DV Devjani Mutreja 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shantanu Kaveri · b DV Devjani Mutreja | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 175.00 |
| Sohel Patelcaught · DV Devjani Mutreja · D Panda 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · DV Devjani Mutreja · b D Panda | 34 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 130.77 |
|---|
| Ronitkumar Ahircaught · J Umanath · DV Devjani Mutreja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Umanath · b DV Devjani Mutreja | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| FL Patelcaught · Shashikant Laxman · Luis Hermida 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shashikant Laxman · b Luis Hermida | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Nazir Patelcaught · R Poojary · D Panda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Poojary · b D Panda | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Faizal Salehjicaught · R Poojary · D Panda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Poojary · b D Panda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Anskumar Ahirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratik Singh Bais1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Hermida0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Shashikant Laxman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| D Panda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.26 | 1 | 0 |
| DV Devjani Mutreja0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Shantanu Kaveri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (P Jayeshbhai Patel, 2.2) · 2-39 (Meet Ahir, 7.3) · 3-50 (LR Gaonkar, 9.3) · 4-52 (Breeze Ahir, 10.3) · 5-71 (A Natubhai Ahir, 12.3) · 6-83 (Ronitkumar Ahir, 14.4) · 7-88 (FL Patel, 15.2) · 8-89 (Nazir Patel, 16.3) · 9-91 (Faizal Salehji, 16.5) · 10-115 (Sohel Patel, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 32/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 40/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 60/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 64/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 73/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 81/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 87/6 |
| 16 | 1 | 88/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 91/9 |
| 18 | 9 | 100/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 108/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 115/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.