Sharjah WarriorzversusGulf Giants

26 Jan 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gulf Giants won by 6 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs171/6 Gulf Giants19.3 overs172/4 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 44%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Gulf Giants is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 2% to 74% during the match (Gulf Giants: 27% to 99%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.4: D Madushanka to SO Hetmyer, SO Hetmyer out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 53% to 67%.
2nd inns 15.6: D Madushanka to TP Alsop, six by TP Alsop. Gulf Giants up from 39% to 60%.
2nd inns 17.5: AF Milne to TK Curran, six by TK Curran. Gulf Giants up from 51% to 71%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz171/6 Gulf Giants172/4

Innings 1