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Bulgaria in Cyprus T20I Series · 2025/26 · Men
3 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bulgaria started on 18%; Bulgaria batted first.
Bulgaria's chances ranged from 0% to 20% during the match (Cyprus: 81% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Lakovrun out · MPGT Ketiyage, Ashish Bam · MPGT Ketiyage 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MPGT Ketiyage, Ashish Bam | 38 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 88.37 |
| Isa Zaroolbw · Waqar Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Waqar Ali | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| M Gogevcaught · AA Senn · MPGT Ketiyage 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AA Senn · b MPGT Ketiyage | 30 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 90.91 |
| K Krishnakumarcaught · S Austin · A Shahi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Austin · b A Shahi | 16 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 84.21 |
| Zeerak Chughtaicaught · CPPM Sadun · Waqar Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CPPM Sadun · b Waqar Ali | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| caught · Adam Senn · b Waqar Ali |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Jakob Gulbowled · Waqar Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Ali | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Danyal Rajanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Gagandeep Singh (3)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Senn0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Waqar Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Taranjit Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Shahi0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 4 | 0 |
| CPPM Sadun0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 2 |
| MPGT Ketiyage0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-14 (Isa Zaroo, 3.3) · 2-75 (M Gogev, 13.0) · 3-79 (H Lakov, 14.1) · 4-99 (Zeerak Chughtai, 17.1) · 5-101 (D Nikolov, 18.0) · 6-101 (K Krishnakumar, 18.1) · 7-116 (Jakob Gul, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 51/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 66/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 83/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 88/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 99/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 101/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 111/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 119/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.