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Bahrain tour of Indonesia · 2025/26 · Men
21 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 10%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 0% to 11% during the match (Bahrain: 89% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanarun out · P Kurup, Asif Javed · Imran Anwar 4 fours · 1 sixes | run out · P Kurup, Asif Javed | 47 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 92.16 |
| J Dzulfikarcaught · P Kurup · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Ali Dawood | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Sudhakar Jegannathancaught · Muhammad Salman · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Salman · b Rizwan Butt | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
| Anjar Tadaruscaught · P Kurup · Muhammad Salman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Kurup · b Muhammad Salman | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
| Gede Artacaught · Abdul Majeed · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abdul Majeed · b Ali Dawood | 14 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 127.27 |
| Ahmad Ramdonibowled · Imran Anwar 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Imran Anwar |
| 5 |
| 17 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 29.41 |
| Ketut Artawannot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Danilson Hawoenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Javed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Salman0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (J Dzulfikar, 0.5) · 2-18 (Sudhakar Jegannathan, 6.3) · 3-27 (Anjar Tadarus, 9.5) · 4-60 (Gede Arta, 13.3) · 5-75 (Ahmad Ramdoni, 17.5) · 6-96 (Gede Priandana, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 5/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 18/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 26/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 27/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 38/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 50/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 59/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 64/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 67/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 69/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 72/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 76/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 84/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 97/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.