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Hong Kong Women tour of Netherlands · 2024 · Women
19 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 20%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 30% during the match (Netherlands: 70% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milesbowled · Caroline de Lange 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Caroline de Lange | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Mariko Hillcaught · Caroline de Lange · Iris Zwilling 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Caroline de Lange · b Iris Zwilling | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadbowled · Hannah Landheer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hannah Landheer | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Kary Chancaught · Robine Rijke · Hannah Landheer 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Robine Rijke · b Hannah Landheer | 23 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Y Daswanirun out · Babette de Leede, Caroline de Lange · Caroline de Lange 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Babette de Leede, Caroline de Lange | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| MBA Lamploughcaught · Iris Zwilling · Frederique Overdijk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Iris Zwilling · b Frederique Overdijk | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
| M Bibinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 94.44 |
|---|
| Iqra Saharstumped · Babette de Leede · Silver Siegers 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Babette de Leede · b Silver Siegers | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| M Wai Siunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Zwilling0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Landheer0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Caroline de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Frederique Overdijk1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Silver Siegers0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 4 | 0 |
1-26 (Mariko Hill, 4.3) · 2-44 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 8.3) · 3-56 (Natasha Miles, 10.0) · 4-58 (Y Daswani, 11.2) · 5-78 (MBA Lamplough, 14.2) · 6-92 (Kary Chan, 17.0) · 7-111 (Iqra Sahar, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 57/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 66/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 78/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 83/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 89/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 92/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 98/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 106/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 114/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.