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West Africa Trophy · 2025/26 · Men
12 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Nigeria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 86%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 84% to 100% during the match (Zambia: 0% to 16%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sulaimon Runsewestumped · M Yambayamba · Javid Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · M Yambayamba · b Javid Patel | 16 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 94.12 |
| Ali Rahmoncaught · JV Chand · Soyeb Pendi 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · JV Chand · b Soyeb Pendi | 19 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 172.73 |
| Daniel Ajekunhit wicket · Javid Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b Javid Patel | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
| Isaac Danladicaught · Soyeb Pendi · Ayaz Dadabhai 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Soyeb Pendi · b Ayaz Dadabhai | 40 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Sylvester Okpestumped · M Yambayamba · JV Chand 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · M Yambayamba · b JV Chand | 44 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
| bowled · b Soyeb Pendi |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Isaac Okpecaught · Salman Patel · Ayaz Dadabhai 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Patel · b Ayaz Dadabhai | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| K Bonifacenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| E Ndubudemnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayaz Dadabhai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Soyeb Pendi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aslam Bera0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Javid Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Muhammad Asim (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JV Chand0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-30 (Ali Rahmon, 3.4) · 2-42 (Daniel Ajekun, 6.0) · 3-51 (Sulaimon Runsewe, 7.4) · 4-111 (Isaac Danladi, 14.5) · 5-123 (Vincent Adewoye, 17.1) · 6-146 (Sylvester Okpe, 18.5) · 7-148 (Isaac Okpe, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 104/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 111/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 116/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 123/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 134/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 146/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 152/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.