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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jun 2026 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 54%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Gloucestershire: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantonbowled · Matt Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Taylor | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Josh Thomascaught · Matt Taylor · Marchant de Lange 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Taylor · b Marchant de Lange | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 175.00 |
| Jordan Hermannlbw · Duan Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Duan Jansen | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Tom Abellcaught · D'Arcy Short · Duan Jansen1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D'Arcy Short · b Duan Jansen | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Lewis Goldsworthycaught · James Bracey · Craig Miles 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b Craig Miles |
| 11 |
| 21 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 52.38 |
| Thomas Rewcaught · Joseph Peter Phillips · Matt Taylor 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joseph Peter Phillips · b Matt Taylor | 27 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 158.82 |
|---|
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Joseph Peter Phillips · Marchant de Lange2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joseph Peter Phillips · b Marchant de Lange | 33 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 117.86 |
|---|
 Daniel Samslbw · Jack Taylor0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jack Taylor | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonnot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 19 | 1 | 2 | 147.37 |
|---|
 Josh Shawnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Ollie Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Duan Jansen1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 D'Arcy Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Tom Banton, 0.1) · 2-14 (Jordan Hermann, 2.3) · 3-30 (Josh Thomas, 4.3) · 4-33 (Tom Abell, 6.0) · 5-64 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 10.5) · 6-78 (Thomas Rew, 13.0) · 7-79 (Daniel Sams, 13.2) · 8-128 (Lewis Gregory, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 30/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 33/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 37/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 46/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 50/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 65/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 72/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 78/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 81/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 91/7 |
| 17 | 15 | 106/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 18 | 128/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 137/8 |
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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