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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
5 Jun 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographEssex started on 34%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Surrey: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Scrivensnot out 10 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 85* | 63 | 10 | 1 | 134.92 |
| Alice Macleodrun out · Kalea Moore · Kalea Moore 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kalea Moore | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Liberty Heapcaught · Alice Monaghan · Alice Davidson-Richards 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Monaghan · b Alice Davidson-Richards | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Jodi Grewcockrun out · Laura Harris, Kira Chathli · Kalea Moore 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Laura Harris, Kira Chathli | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 118.75 |
| Jo Gardnercaught · Alice Monaghan · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Monaghan · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| bowled · b Kalea Moore |
| 7 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kalea Moore | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Amara Carrnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethan Miles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Alice Monaghan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Kalea Moore0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Alice Davidson-Richards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Alice Macleod, 3.5) · 2-65 (Liberty Heap, 8.4) · 3-108 (Jodi Grewcock, 15.4) · 4-133 (Jo Gardner, 18.1) · 5-143 (Florence Miller, 19.4) · 6-143 (Sophia Smale, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 19/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 56/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 74/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 79/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 86/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 91/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 96/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 105/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 108/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 120/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 133/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 139/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 145/6 |
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.