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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
17 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cambodia started on 18%; Cambodia batted first.
Cambodia's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 79% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hathinjarbowled · Muhammad Farooq 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Farooq | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| RV Virajcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Omid Shafi Rahman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Omid Shafi Rahman | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| RR Sharancaught · Ali Naseer · Aayan Afzal Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Luqman Buttlbw · Muhammad Farooq 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Farooq | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 90.91 |
| Lakshit Guptacaught · Ali Naseer · Aayan Afzal Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| bowled · b Aayan Afzal Khan |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| S Godaracaught · Alishan Sharafu · Basil Hameed 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b Basil Hameed | 24 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 133.33 |
|---|
| KDACK Gunarathnecaught · Basil Hameed · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Ali Naseer | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Utkarsh Jainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| GC Murtazabowled · Akif Raja 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Raja | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasad Anishbowled · Akif Raja 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Raja | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akif Raja0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Omid Shafi Rahman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (RV Viraj, 3.4) · 2-23 (US Hathinjar, 6.1) · 3-25 (RR Sharan, 7.4) · 4-37 (Luqman Butt, 10.2) · 5-41 (Lakshit Gupta, 11.4) · 6-44 (E Beukes, 13.4) · 7-45 (KDACK Gunarathne, 14.5) · 8-75 (S Godara, 17.5) · 9-76 (GC Murtaza, 18.4) · 10-76 (Prasad Anish, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 25/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 33/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 37/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 39/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 41/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 44/5 |
| 14 | 0 | 44/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 46/7 |
| 16 | 9 | 55/7 |
| 17 | 17 | 72/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 75/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/10 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
