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West Africa Trophy · 2025/26 · Men
14 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zambia started on 45%; Zambia batted first.
Zambia's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Sierra Leone: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Asim (2)caught · L Lamin · A Gbla 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · L Lamin · b A Gbla | 32 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 200.00 |
| Jakir Patelrun out · A Gbla, Brima Ansumana · R Coker 2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · A Gbla, Brima Ansumana | 34 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 121.43 |
| JV Chandlbw · A Gbla 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b A Gbla | 38 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 97.44 |
| Ayaz Dadabhaibowled · J Lassayo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b J Lassayo | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Salman Patelbowled · AB Kamara 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b AB Kamara | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Javid Patelcaught · Ibrahim Kpaka · J Lassayo0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Ibrahim Kpaka · b J Lassayo |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Shahnawaz Patelnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 26* | 22 | 1 | 1 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Soyeb Pendinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Bah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AB Kamara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Gbla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| R Coker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohamed Turay0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| J Lassayo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Muhammad Asim (2), 3.5) · 2-82 (Jakir Patel, 10.0) · 3-97 (Ayaz Dadabhai, 12.4) · 4-98 (Salman Patel, 13.5) · 5-99 (Javid Patel, 14.2) · 6-132 (JV Chand, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 10 | 17 | 82/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 88/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 96/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 97/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 102/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 111/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 116/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 122/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 132/6 |
| 20 | 13 | 145/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.