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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
12 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographKent started on 36%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 7% to 67% during the match (Surrey: 33% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught and bowled · Mitchell Santner 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 37 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 119.35 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Sam Curran · Chris Jordan4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Chris Jordan | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 146.15 |
 Harry Finchcaught · Will Jacks · Mitchell Santner0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Mitchell Santner | 19 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 95.00 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Laurie Evans · Chris Jordan3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Chris Jordan |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 181.82 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Will Jacks · Chris Jordan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Chris Jordan | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningcaught · Ollie Sykes · Sam Curran1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ollie Sykes · b Sam Curran | 24 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartcaught · Sam Curran · Chris Jordan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Chris Jordan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 7 | 2 | 1 | 257.14 |
|---|
| Wes Agarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Worrall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 4.5) · 2-78 (Tawanda Muyeye, 10.3) · 3-79 (Harry Finch, 10.5) · 4-96 (Sam Billings, 13.3) · 5-148 (Joe Denly, 17.4) · 6-148 (Grant Stewart, 18.0) · 7-150 (Jack Leaning, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 77/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 80/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 96/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 110/4 |
| 16 | 20 | 130/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 146/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 148/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 153/7 |
| 20 | 18 | 171/7 |
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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