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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
21 Jan 2024 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 55%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (MI Cape Town: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Nuwan Thushara · Thomas Kaber8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nuwan Thushara · b Thomas Kaber | 68 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 147.83 |
 Jos Buttlerbowled · Nuwan Thushara5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nuwan Thushara | 54 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 128.57 |
 David Millerretired hurt · Kagiso Rabada2 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 24* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Fabian Allenlbw · Nuwan Thushara 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nuwan Thushara | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mitchell Van Buurennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Andile Phehlukwayonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuwan Thushara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Thomas Kaber0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Kieron Pollard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-116 (Jason Roy, 13.1) · 2-140 (Jos Buttler, 17.1) · 3-140 (Fabian Allen, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 14 | 60/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 66/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 71/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 75/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 84/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 88/0 |
| 12 | 15 | 103/0 |
| 13 | 13 | 116/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 121/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 124/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 129/1 |
| 17 | 11 | 140/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 145/3 |
| 19 | 11 | 156/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 162/3 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Kieron Pollard: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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