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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jun 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographHampshire started on 42%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 39% to 97% during the match (Surrey: 3% to 61%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertcaught · Laurie Evans · Will Jacks 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Will Jacks | 39 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 121.88 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Will Jacks | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · Sean Abbott · Reece Topley 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Reece Topley | 40 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 235.29 |
| Joe Weatherleycaught · Sam Curran · Reece Topley 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Reece Topley | 43 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 165.38 |
| Tristan Stubbsnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 166.67 |
| Liam Dawsoncaught · Will Jacks · Tom Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Tom Curran | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| James Fullernot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 6 | 2 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 6 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 15.00 | 5 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-73 (Toby Albert, 8.1) · 2-74 (Ali Orr, 8.3) · 3-130 (Hilton Cartwright, 13.1) · 4-180 (Joe Weatherley, 17.4) · 5-186 (Liam Dawson, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 55/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 62/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 73/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 92/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 106/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 118/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 130/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 138/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 149/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 162/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 174/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 182/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 191/5 |
| 20 | 24 | 215/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ali Orr: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.