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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
12 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 30%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Thailand: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · Austin Lazarus · Chanchai Pengkumta 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Paing Danubowled · Phanuphong Thongsa 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 17 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 73.91 |
| Htet Lin Oobowled · Thanadon Buri 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Thanadon Buri | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Khin Ayecaught · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · Thanadon Buri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · b Thanadon Buri | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thustumped · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · Nopphon Senamontree 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · b Nopphon Senamontree | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Aung Ko Kobowled · Phanuphong Thongsa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Htet Lin Aungnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 28 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Kyaw Zin Lincaught and bowled · Phanuphong Thongsa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ye Naing Tuncaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Phanuphong Thongsa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sai Hla Htwecaught · Pattarapol Jirapatananukul · Austin Lazarus 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pattarapol Jirapatananukul · b Austin Lazarus | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Kaung Htet Kyawbowled · Austin Lazarus 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Austin Lazarus | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Thanadon Buri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Kamron Senamontree0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Phanuphong Thongsa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Phatummakan Donkaew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Lazarus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 0.4) · 2-3 (Htet Lin Oo, 1.1) · 3-3 (Khin Aye, 1.2) · 4-20 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 4.4) · 5-37 (Paing Danu, 8.0) · 6-42 (Aung Ko Ko, 9.2) · 7-42 (Kyaw Zin Lin, 9.5) · 8-44 (Ye Naing Tun, 12.0) · 9-52 (Sai Hla Htwe, 15.4) · 10-52 (Kaung Htet Kyaw, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/3 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/3 |
| 4 | 8 | 13/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 20/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 26/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 27/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 37/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 42/5 |
| 10 | 0 | 42/7 |
| 11 | 1 | 43/7 |
| 12 | 1 | 44/8 |
| 13 | 1 | 45/8 |
| 14 | 2 | 47/8 |
| 15 | 3 | 50/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 52/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.