Royal Challengers BengaluruversusDelhi Capitals

10 Apr 2025 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 6 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs163/7 Delhi Capitals17.5 overs169/4 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 50%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 85% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 15% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.1: B Kumar to J Fraser-McGurk, J Fraser-McGurk out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 48% to 61%.
2nd inns 4.3: B Kumar to Abishek Porel, Abishek Porel out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 51% to 68%.
2nd inns 8.4: Suyash Sharma to AR Patel, AR Patel out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 56% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru163/7 Delhi Capitals169/4

Innings 1