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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
10 Jul 2024 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitebowled · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 6 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Harry Brook · Ben Stokes 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ben Stokes | 27 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 46.55 |
| Kirk McKenziecaught · Zak Crawley · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Gus Atkinson | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.14 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Joe Root · Gus Atkinson 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Gus Atkinson | 23 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 41.07 |
| Kavem Hodge |
| caught · Ollie Pope · b Chris Woakes |
| 24 |
| 48 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 50.00 |
 Jason Holdercaught · Harry Brook · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvacaught · Jamie Smith · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Chris Woakes · Gus Atkinson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Gus Atkinson | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 188.89 |
|---|
| Gudakesh Motienot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 19 | 3 | 0 | 73.68 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Ollie Pope · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealeslbw · James Anderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b James Anderson | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.4 | 3 | 26 | 1 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Woakes2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 2.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 5 | 45 | 7 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 10.2) · 2-36 (Kirk McKenzie, 14.2) · 3-44 (Mikyle Louis, 21.2) · 4-88 (Alick Athanaze, 34.2) · 5-88 (Jason Holder, 34.3) · 6-88 (Joshua Da Silva, 34.5) · 7-88 (Kavem Hodge, 35.3) · 8-106 (Alzarri Joseph, 38.1) · 9-106 (Shamar Joseph, 38.3) · 10-121 (Jayden Seales, 41.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 34/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 34/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 35/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 36/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 36/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 19 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 44/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 45/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 56/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 28 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 30 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 31 | 8 | 81/3 |
| 32 | 1 | 82/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 88/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 88/3 |
| 35 | 0 | 88/6 |
| 36 | 0 | 88/7 |
| 37 | 16 | 104/7 |
| 38 | 2 | 106/7 |
| 39 | 1 | 107/9 |
| 40 | 6 | 113/9 |
| 41 | 8 | 121/9 |
| 42 | 0 | 121/10 |
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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