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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
1 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 46%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 18% to 98% during the match (Durham: 2% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TN Kestevencaught · Grace Thompson · Trudy Johnson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Thompson · b Trudy Johnson | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
 Katie Mackcaught · Katherine Fraser · Trudy Johnson4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katherine Fraser · b Trudy Johnson | 26 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 113.04 |
| Seren Smalecaught · Bess Heath · Grace Thompson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bess Heath · b Grace Thompson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Fi Morriscaught · Hollie Armitage · Grace Thompson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hollie Armitage · b Grace Thompson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Mia Rogers · b Suzie Bates |
| 48 |
| 45 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 106.67 |
 Sophie Ecclestonecaught · Mady Villiers · Katie Levick1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mady Villiers · b Katie Levick | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Ailsa Listernot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 42* | 23 | 3 | 2 | 182.61 |
|---|
 Tara Norrisbowled · Suzie Bates0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Suzie Bates | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Grace Johnsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suzie Bates0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Grace Thompson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Trudy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Phoebe Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mady Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Levick0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-16 (TN Kesteven, 3.0) · 2-17 (Seren Smale, 3.3) · 3-18 (Fi Morris, 3.4) · 4-60 (Katie Mack, 10.1) · 5-76 (Sophie Ecclestone, 13.2) · 6-133 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 19.3) · 7-133 (Tara Norris, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 35/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 47/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 57/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 60/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 66/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 68/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 75/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 81/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 86/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 96/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 103/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 117/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 130/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 140/7 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Katie Mack: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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