Lahore QalandarsversusKarachi Kings

9 Mar 2024 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 3 wickets

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs177/5 Karachi Kings20.0 overs179/7 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 49%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 6% to 61% during the match (Karachi Kings: 40% to 94%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.6: Zaman Khan to Shoaib Malik, four by Shoaib Malik. Karachi Kings up from 78% to 94%.
2nd inns 19.1: Zaman Khan to Anwar Ali, Anwar Ali out. Lahore Qalandars up from 17% to 33%.
2nd inns 19.6: Zaman Khan to Shoaib Malik, four by Shoaib Malik. Karachi Kings up from 54% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars177/5 Karachi Kings179/7

Innings 1