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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
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Zimbabwe Women tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Women
25 Feb 2026 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
New Zealand started on 65%; New Zealand batted first.
New Zealand's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Plimmercaught · Loren Tshuma · Nyasha Gwanzura 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Loren Tshuma · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 32 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Izzy Gazenot out 6 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 66* | 50 | 6 | 0 | 132.00 |
 Amelia Kerrnot out19 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 101* | 51 | 19 | 0 | 198.04 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls |
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 26 |
| 0 |
| 8.67 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Christabel Chatonzwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| B Biza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| T Makusha0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-43 (Georgia Plimmer, 5.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 17 | 89/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 103/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 109/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 116/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 125/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 133/1 |
| 16 | 22 | 155/1 |
| 17 | 15 | 170/1 |
| 18 | 12 | 182/1 |
| 19 | 11 | 193/1 |
| 20 | 9 | 202/1 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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