Sunrisers HyderabadversusKolkata Knight Riders

2 Apr 2026 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 65 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs226/8 Kolkata Knight Riders16.0 overs161/10 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 43%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 0% to 59%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.6: JD Unadkat to AM Rahane, AM Rahane out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 61% to 73%.
2nd inns 5.6: E Malinga to A Raghuvanshi, C Green out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 71% to 84%.
2nd inns 10.6: Shivang Kumar to RK Singh, A Raghuvanshi out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 69% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad226/8 Kolkata Knight Riders161/10

Innings 1