Sharjah WarriorzversusDesert Vipers

7 Feb 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 7 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs162/7 Desert Vipers16.4 overs165/3 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 48%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Desert Vipers: 35% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.1: DA Payne to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Desert Vipers up from 48% to 59%.
2.6: Mohammad Amir to J Charles, J Charles out. Desert Vipers up from 55% to 66%.
2nd inns 0.6: AF Milne to Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Rahmanullah Gurbaz out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 54% to 65%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz162/7 Desert Vipers165/3

Innings 1