Antigua and Barbuda FalconsversusGuyana Amazon Warriors

8 Sept 2026 · T20

Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 65 runs

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons20.0 overs182/5 Guyana Amazon Warriors14.2 overs117/10 Providence Stadium, Guyana ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons started on 35%; Antigua and Barbuda Falcons batted first.

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons’s chance of winning (%) · Guyana Amazon Warriors is the rest

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Guyana Amazon Warriors: 0% to 67%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.5: AS Joseph to M Dindyal, M Dindyal out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 55% to 71%.
2nd inns 5.1: JM James to SO Hetmyer, SO Hetmyer out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 66% to 85%.
2nd inns 6.4: Shadab Khan to Q Sampson, Q Sampson out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 75% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons182/5 Guyana Amazon Warriors117/10

Innings 1