Kolkata Knight RidersversusRajasthan Royals

16 Apr 2024 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajasthan Royals won by 2 wickets

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs223/6 Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs224/8 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 48%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 9% to 99% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 1% to 91%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.4: Harshit Rana to JC Buttler, six by JC Buttler. Rajasthan Royals up from 20% to 48%.
2nd inns 19.1: CV Varun to JC Buttler, six by JC Buttler. Rajasthan Royals up from 48% to 91%.
2nd inns 19.6: CV Varun to JC Buttler, 1 run to JC Buttler. Rajasthan Royals up from 80% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders223/6 Rajasthan Royals224/8

Innings 1