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Photo: Krish Dulal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
24 Jan 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 48%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 1% to 58% during the match (Nepal: 42% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chipo Mugeribowled · K Kunwar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Kunwar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
| B Bizacaught · Riya Sharma · Puja Mahato 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Riya Sharma · b Puja Mahato | 34 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 97.14 |
| Modester Mupachikwalbw · Sita Rana Magar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sita Rana Magar | 14 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Kelis Ndhlovunot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 52* | 36 | 8 | 0 | 144.44 |
| Loren Tshumacaught · Puja Mahato · Rubina Chhetri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Puja Mahato · b Rubina Chhetri | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Josephine Nkomo |
| lbw · b Riya Sharma |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Chiedza Dhururulbw · Riya Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Riya Sharma | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Christabel Chatonzwanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kunwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Bist0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Riya Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Puja Mahato0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Chipo Mugeri, 0.3) · 2-54 (Modester Mupachikwa, 9.0) · 3-70 (B Biza, 11.3) · 4-71 (Loren Tshuma, 13.0) · 5-109 (Josephine Nkomo, 17.2) · 6-123 (Chiedza Dhururu, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 51/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 54/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 62/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 71/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 79/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 100/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 108/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 112/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 122/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 129/6 |
Kabita Joshi: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sita Rana Magar: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bindu Rawal: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.