NamibiaversusScotland

15 Apr 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Scotland won by 7 wickets

Namibia20.0 overs159/7 Scotland18.5 overs160/3 Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Namibia more likely to win

67%Namibia33%Scotland

Why

In the last 4 T20 internationals between these sides, Namibia won 3 and Scotland won 1
On results in T20 internationals so far, Namibia rate stronger than Scotland (1,524 vs 1,486 on our results rating)
Namibia are playing at home in Namibia

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Namibia started on 64%; Namibia batted first.

Namibia’s chance of winning (%) · Scotland is the rest

Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 73% during the match (Scotland: 27% to 100%).

Biggest swings

9.4: O Davidson to MB Kruger, MB Kruger out. Scotland up from 39% to 52%.
2nd inns 10.2: M Heingo to HG Munsey, HG Munsey out. Namibia up from 32% to 45%.
2nd inns 11.6: JN Loftie-Eaton to BJ McMullen, six by BJ McMullen. Scotland up from 54% to 70%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Namibia159/7 Scotland160/3

Innings 1

Namibia

159/720.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Namibia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
ZJ van Vuurenbowled · Mark Watt 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Mark Watt	12	9	2	0	133.33
Jan Frylinckcaught · Finlay McCreath · Jasper John Davidson 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Finlay McCreath · b Jasper John Davidson	8	6	1	0	133.33
Louren Steenkampcaught · George Munsey · Zainullah Ihsan 2 fours · 1 sixes	caught · George Munsey · b Zainullah Ihsan	27	19	2	1	142.11
Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Matty Cross · Jasper John Davidson 0 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Matty Cross · b Jasper John Davidson	6	7	0	1	85.71
Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Christopher McBride · Safyaan Sharif 4 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Christopher McBride · b Safyaan Sharif	54	39

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Brandon McMullen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	20	0	10.00	0
Jasper John Davidson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	2	7.00	2
Mark Watt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	24	2	6.00	0
Safyaan Sharif0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	30	1	7.50	0
Zainullah Ihsan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	42	1	10.50	0
Oliver Davidson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	1	7.00	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	7	7/0
2	8	15/1
3	13	28/1
4	5	33/2
5	8	41/2
6	9	50/3
7	7	57/3
8	8	65/3
9	7	72/4
10	3	75/5
11	3	78/5
12	11	89/5
13	5	94/5
14	5	99/6
15	5	104/6
16	7	111/6
17	18	129/6
18	6	135/6
19	10	145/7
20	14	159/7

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