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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 51%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 1% to 76% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 24% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Harry Finchlbw · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Amir | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Jack Haynes · Oli Stone4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Oli Stone | 37 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 160.87 |
 Zak Crawleycaught · Freddie McCann · Mohammad Ali4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b Mohammad Ali | 27 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Tom Moores · Mohammad Ali2 fours · 5 sixes |
| caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Ali |
| 64 |
| 38 |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 168.42 |
 Joe Denlystumped · Tom Moores · Liam Patterson-White0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Tom Moores · b Liam Patterson-White | 18 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Chris Benjaminbowled · Benny Howell 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Benny Howell | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartcaught · Tom Moores · Mohammad Amir1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Amir | 22 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 169.23 |
|---|
| Keith Dudgeonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Jacob Lintottnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Harry Finch, 0.2) · 2-58 (Zak Crawley, 6.0) · 3-93 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 9.5) · 4-137 (Joe Denly, 14.0) · 5-142 (Chris Benjamin, 14.4) · 6-173 (Grant Stewart, 18.1) · 7-182 (Sam Billings, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 44/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 64/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 18 | 89/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 94/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 101/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 112/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 118/3 |
| 14 | 19 | 137/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 143/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 161/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 173/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 177/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 184/7 |
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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