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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
19 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 48%; Oman batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · Navneet Dhaliwal · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Navneet Dhaliwal · b Kaleem Sana | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Shivam Sharma (3) · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shivam Sharma (3) · b Kaleem Sana | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Pruthvikumar Macchibowled · Shivam Sharma (3) 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shivam Sharma (3) | 12 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 41.38 |
| Hammad Mirzastumped · Shreyas Movva · Shivam Sharma (3) 3 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Shreyas Movva · b Shivam Sharma (3) | 77 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 74.76 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Saad Bin Zafar · Dillon Heyliger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saad Bin Zafar · b Dillon Heyliger | 8 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 24.24 |
Oman's chances ranged from 9% to 96% during the match (Canada: 4% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Mohammad Nadeemnot out 7 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 76* | 77 | 7 | 2 | 98.70 |
|---|
| Vinayak Shuklabowled · Dillon Heyliger 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dillon Heyliger | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Sufyan Mehmoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 29 | 0 | 0 | 68.97 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana2 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 37 | 2 | 3.70 | 3 | 0 |
| J Matharu1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 55 | 0 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Shivam Sharma (3)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Dillon Heyliger0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 3.60 | 3 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 4.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Aamir Kaleem, 0.5) · 2-10 (Jatinder Singh, 4.5) · 3-31 (Pruthvikumar Macchi, 11.1) · 4-69 (Mujibur Ali, 22.3) · 5-141 (Hammad Mirza, 36.4) · 6-152 (Vinayak Shukla, 39.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 10/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 12/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 25/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 34/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 38/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 43/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 48/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 20 | 9 | 61/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 75/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 80/4 |
| 27 | 2 | 82/4 |
| 28 | 5 | 87/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 92/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 95/4 |
| 31 | 7 | 102/4 |
| 32 | 5 | 107/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 112/4 |
| 34 | 9 | 121/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 126/4 |
| 36 | 10 | 136/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 141/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 145/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 150/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 152/6 |
| 41 | 1 | 153/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 158/6 |
| 43 | 8 | 166/6 |
| 44 | 7 | 173/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 177/6 |
| 46 | 4 | 181/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 183/6 |
| 48 | 10 | 193/6 |
| 49 | 8 | 201/6 |
| 50 | 16 | 217/6 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
