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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malawi) · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 65%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 65% to 100% during the match (Germany: 0% to 35%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · K Klesse · Sajid Liaqat 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Klesse · b Sajid Liaqat | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| P Kurupcaught · Mohammad Hassan Khan · Muslim Yar 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Hassan Khan · b Muslim Yar | 42 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 135.48 |
| Fiaz Ahmednot out 10 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 105* | 57 | 10 | 7 | 184.21 |
| Sohail Ahmednot out 3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 49* | 27 | 3 | 3 | 181.48 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Sajid Liaqat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 15.33 | 0 | 1 |
| V Jatinder Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muslim Yar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ghulam Ahmadi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Shahid Afridi (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Asif Ali, 2.3) · 2-96 (P Kurup, 10.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 55/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 66/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 77/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 80/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 94/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 96/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 107/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 117/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 120/2 |
| 15 | 17 | 137/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 147/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 151/2 |
| 18 | 20 | 171/2 |
| 19 | 15 | 186/2 |
| 20 | 21 | 207/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.