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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
11 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 62%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 55% to 97% during the match (Northern Districts: 3% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Plimmercaught · LF Boucher · Nensi Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LF Boucher · b Nensi Patel | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
| Rebecca Burnscaught · Kayley Knight · MW Downes 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kayley Knight · b MW Downes | 33 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 143.48 |
| HC Franciscaught · HE Topp · Nensi Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HE Topp · b Nensi Patel | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · Jess Watkin · Kayley Knight 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jess Watkin · b Kayley Knight | 53 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 170.97 |
| XA Jetlycaught · HE Topp · LF Boucher 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HE Topp · b LF Boucher | 31 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 240.00 |
| INC McKenzierun out · E Wolland, HE Topp · Jess Watkin 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · E Wolland, HE Topp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| S Mackindernot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 4 | 2 | 0 | 275.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW Downes0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| LF Boucher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kayley Knight0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Nensi Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jess Watkin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Georgia Plimmer, 4.1) · 2-37 (HC Francis, 6.1) · 3-54 (Rebecca Burns, 8.2) · 4-139 (Jess Kerr, 17.5) · 5-147 (XA Jetly, 18.4) · 6-153 (INC McKenzie, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 18 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 105/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 116/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 121/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 130/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 141/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 152/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 165/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.