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Central Europe Cup · 2025 · Men
9 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 32%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Austria: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khizer Ahmedcaught · Baseer Khan · Waqar Zalmai1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Baseer Khan · b Waqar Zalmai | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ibrahim Rahimicaught · Karanbir Singh · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Aqib Iqbal | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 154.55 |
| Walid Ghauricaught and bowled · Bilal Zalmai 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Bilal Zalmai | 57 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 139.02 |
| D Abeyrathnacaught · Amar Naeem · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amar Naeem · b Waqar Zalmai | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Faisal Razacaught · Karanbir Singh · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 19 |
| 23 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 82.61 |
| Sher Sahaknot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 12 | 3 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Qamar Mushtaquerun out · Amar Naeem, Sahel Zadran · Sahel Zadran 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amar Naeem, Sahel Zadran | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Vinay Ravinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 1 |
| H Khogiyani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Ibrahim Rahimi, 3.3) · 2-32 (Khizer Ahmed, 4.1) · 3-53 (D Abeyrathna, 7.0) · 4-124 (Walid Ghauri, 15.1) · 5-127 (Faisal Raza, 15.5) · 6-157 (Qamar Mushtaque, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 49/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 79/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 15 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 105/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 124/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 128/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 133/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 139/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 153/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 159/6 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
