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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier · 2026 · Men
25 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Kenya more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subham Patelstumped · D Ndikubwimana · E Rukiriza 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · D Ndikubwimana · b E Rukiriza | 24 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 88.89 |
| Dhiren Gondariacaught and bowled · Z Bimenyimana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Z Bimenyimana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Sukhdeep Singhbowled · Z Bimenyimana0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Z Bimenyimana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Irfan Karimrun out · Hamza Khan, Muhammad Nadir · Muhammad Nadir 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hamza Khan, Muhammad Nadir | 17 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 62.96 |
 |
| caught and bowled · b Muhammad Nadir |
| 8 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| Sachin Gillnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 33* | 24 | 2 | 2 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Sachin Bhudiacaught · D Ndikubwimana · Muhammad Nadir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Ndikubwimana · b Muhammad Nadir | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Lucas Oluochcaught · I Niyomugabo · Muhammad Nadir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · I Niyomugabo · b Muhammad Nadir | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Shem Ngochecaught · M Akayezu · I Ntirenganya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Akayezu · b I Ntirenganya | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Francis Mutuacaught · D Ndikubwimana · M Akayezu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Ndikubwimana · b M Akayezu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| N Hiraninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Bimenyimana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| I Ntirenganya0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| E Rukiriza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Akayezu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Nadir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Yves Cyusa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Dhiren Gondaria, 0.3) · 2-5 (Sukhdeep Singh, 0.5) · 3-41 (Subham Patel, 8.3) · 4-52 (Rakep Patel, 11.2) · 5-54 (Irfan Karim, 11.5) · 6-57 (Sachin Bhudia, 13.4) · 7-63 (Lucas Oluoch, 15.5) · 8-74 (Shem Ngoche, 18.0) · 9-79 (Francis Mutua, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/2 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 39/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 42/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 52/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 55/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 57/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 58/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 63/6 |
| 16 | 0 | 63/7 |
| 17 | 6 | 69/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 74/8 |
| 19 | 8 | 82/9 |
| 20 | 19 | 101/9 |
Rakep Patel: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sukhdeep Singh: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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