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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
13 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 18%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 0% to 18% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 82% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Ali Naseer · SS Kang 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b SS Kang | 11 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 52.38 |
| P Kuruprun out · T Suri, Muhammad Jawadullah · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · T Suri, Muhammad Jawadullah | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Sarfaraz Alicaught · Waseem Muhammad · Ali Naseer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Ali Naseer | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Alishan Sharafu · Junaid Siddique 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b Junaid Siddique | 58 | 42 | 6 | 2 | 138.10 |
| Haider Buttcaught · Zuhaib Zubair · D Parashar 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b D Parashar | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Fiaz Ahmedlbw · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b D Parashar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Imran Anwarcaught and bowled · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ali Naseer | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
|---|
| Rizwan Buttcaught · Muhammad Jawadullah · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Jawadullah · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Majeednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Imran Khan (5)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (P Kurup, 1.4) · 2-22 (Sarfaraz Ali, 4.2) · 3-27 (Asif Ali, 7.1) · 4-78 (Haider Butt, 13.3) · 5-78 (Fiaz Ahmed, 13.4) · 6-104 (Imran Anwar, 18.0) · 7-108 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 18.3) · 8-110 (Rizwan Butt, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 27/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 27/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/3 |
| 9 | 12 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 54/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 60/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 72/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 78/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 85/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 93/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 104/5 |
| 18 | 0 | 104/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 110/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 113/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
