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South Africa Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
17 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 89%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 89% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 11%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miané Smitrun out · Nomvelo Sibanda · M Mavunga 15 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Nomvelo Sibanda | 102 | 59 | 15 | 1 | 172.88 |
| Anne Boschcaught · C Mutasa · Nyasha Gwanzura 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Mutasa · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 33 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 137.50 |
| Annerie Dercksencaught · Nyasha Gwanzura · Loryn Phiri 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nyasha Gwanzura · b Loryn Phiri | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 206.25 |
| K Reynekebowled · Francisca Chipare 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Francisca Chipare | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Nondumiso Shangasenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
| not out |
| 2* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Mavunga0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
| C Mutasa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-74 (Anne Bosch, 8.3) · 2-136 (Annerie Dercksen, 14.1) · 3-168 (K Reyneke, 17.1) · 4-195 (Miané Smit, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 53/0 |
| 8 | 17 | 70/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 87/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 96/1 |
| 12 | 15 | 111/1 |
| 13 | 13 | 124/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 136/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 142/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 152/2 |
| 17 | 16 | 168/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 180/3 |
| 19 | 15 | 195/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 205/4 |
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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