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Zimbabwe Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
28 Jul 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 33%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiedza Dhururulbw · Ava Canning 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ava Canning | 12 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 29.27 |
| Kelis Ndhlovubowled · Alana Dalzell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alana Dalzell | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Loren Tshumacaught · Amy Hunter · Alana Dalzell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Alana Dalzell | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Sarah Forbes · Cara Murray 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Forbes · b Cara Murray | 56 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 60.87 |
| B Bizacaught · Amy Hunter · Louise Little 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Louise Little | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 33% during the match (Ireland: 67% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Alana Dalzell |
| 45 |
| 86 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 52.33 |
| R Pasipanodyacaught · Cara Murray · LA McBride 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cara Murray · b LA McBride | 11 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 73.33 |
|---|
| Nyasha Gwanzurastumped · Amy Hunter · LA McBride 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Hunter · b LA McBride | 14 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 56.00 |
|---|
| M Mavungacaught · Sarah Forbes · LA McBride 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Forbes · b LA McBride | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparecaught · Orla Prendergast · Alana Dalzell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Alana Dalzell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| K Chigoranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 23 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1.63 | 2 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 9 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 4 | 3.60 | 9 | 1 |
| Ava Canning2 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 3.63 | 6 | 0 |
| Louise Little0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| LA McBride0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 3.07 | 1 | 0 |
| Cara Murray1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 3.63 | 2 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Leah Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 1.1) · 2-17 (Loren Tshuma, 8.0) · 3-38 (Chiedza Dhururu, 13.3) · 4-54 (B Biza, 16.3) · 5-148 (Chipo Mugeri, 41.2) · 6-152 (Modester Mupachikwa, 42.1) · 7-166 (R Pasipanodya, 45.5) · 8-171 (M Mavunga, 47.5) · 9-178 (Francisca Chipare, 49.0) · 10-178 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 49.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 9/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 13/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 28/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 38/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 43/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 55/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 64/4 |
| 20 | 0 | 64/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 65/4 |
| 22 | 6 | 71/4 |
| 23 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 78/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 81/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 81/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 28 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 30 | 5 | 99/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 105/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 107/4 |
| 34 | 7 | 114/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 118/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 125/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 130/4 |
| 38 | 4 | 134/4 |
| 39 | 6 | 140/4 |
| 40 | 6 | 146/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 147/4 |
| 42 | 5 | 152/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 154/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 158/6 |
| 45 | 6 | 164/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 166/7 |
| 47 | 3 | 169/7 |
| 48 | 2 | 171/8 |
| 49 | 7 | 178/9 |
| 50 | 0 | 178/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.