Royal Challengers BengaluruversusGujarat Titans

2 Apr 2025 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 8 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs169/8 Gujarat Titans17.5 overs170/2 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 53%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 42% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.4: Arshad Khan to V Kohli, V Kohli out. Gujarat Titans up from 46% to 58%.
4.4: Mohammed Siraj to PD Salt, PD Salt out. Gujarat Titans up from 57% to 68%.
2nd inns 4.4: B Kumar to Shubman Gill, Shubman Gill out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 34% to 47%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru169/8 Gujarat Titans170/2

Innings 1