Quetta GladiatorsversusKarachi Kings

25 Apr 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 9 wickets

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs195/6 Karachi Kings18.3 overs199/1 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 53%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 0% to 83% during the match (Karachi Kings: 17% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.1: Hasan Ali to Shamyl Hussain, Shamyl Hussain out. Karachi Kings up from 46% to 63%.
0.6: Hasan Ali to Khawaja Nafay, Khawaja Nafay out. Karachi Kings up from 62% to 74%.
2nd inns 5.2: Jahandad Khan to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Quetta Gladiators up from 36% to 49%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators195/6 Karachi Kings199/1

Innings 1