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Australia Women tour of India · 2025/26 · Women
20 Sept 2025 · ODI
Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 66%; Australia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alyssa Healycaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Kranti Goud7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Kranti Goud | 30 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 166.67 |
 Georgia Vollcaught · U Chetry · Sneh Rana14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · U Chetry · b Sneh Rana | 81 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 119.12 |
 Ellyse Perrycaught · Kranti Goud · Arundhati Reddy7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kranti Goud · b Arundhati Reddy | 68 | 72 | 7 | 2 | 94.44 |
 Beth Mooneyrun out · Richa Ghosh, Sneh Rana · Deepti Sharma23 fours · 1 sixes |
Australia's chances ranged from 66% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 34%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| run out · Richa Ghosh, Sneh Rana |
| 138 |
| 75 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 184.00 |
 Ashleigh Gardnercaught · Radha Yadav · Renuka Singh5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Renuka Singh | 39 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 162.50 |
|---|
 Tahlia McGrathlbw · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Deepti Sharma | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 107.69 |
|---|
 Grace Harriscaught and bowled · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Georgia Warehamcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Renuka Singh1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Renuka Singh | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 177.78 |
|---|
 Alana Kingcaught · Sneh Rana · Arundhati Reddy2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sneh Rana · b Arundhati Reddy | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Kim Garthcaught and bowled · Arundhati Reddy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Arundhati Reddy | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Megan Schuttnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 79 | 2 | 8.78 | 2 | 1 |
| Sneh Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 68 | 1 | 6.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Arundhati Reddy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 0 | 86 | 3 | 9.74 | 3 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 75 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 2 |
1-43 (Alyssa Healy, 4.2) · 2-150 (Georgia Voll, 21.1) · 3-256 (Ellyse Perry, 33.0) · 4-338 (Ashleigh Gardner, 40.2) · 5-378 (Tahlia McGrath, 44.2) · 6-379 (Beth Mooney, 44.3) · 7-380 (Grace Harris, 45.0) · 8-399 (Georgia Wareham, 46.3) · 9-406 (Kim Garth, 47.2) · 10-412 (Alana King, 47.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 71/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 77/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 82/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 93/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 98/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 105/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 114/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 122/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 125/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 131/1 |
| 19 | 10 | 141/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 147/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 150/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 153/2 |
| 23 | 7 | 160/2 |
| 24 | 7 | 167/2 |
| 25 | 11 | 178/2 |
| 26 | 7 | 185/2 |
| 27 | 10 | 195/2 |
| 28 | 14 | 209/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 213/2 |
| 30 | 9 | 222/2 |
| 31 | 8 | 230/2 |
| 32 | 14 | 244/2 |
| 33 | 12 | 256/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 260/3 |
| 35 | 9 | 269/3 |
| 36 | 11 | 280/3 |
| 37 | 14 | 294/3 |
| 38 | 18 | 312/3 |
| 39 | 7 | 319/3 |
| 40 | 15 | 334/3 |
| 41 | 15 | 349/4 |
| 42 | 6 | 355/4 |
| 43 | 7 | 362/4 |
| 44 | 15 | 377/4 |
| 45 | 3 | 380/7 |
| 46 | 8 | 388/7 |
| 47 | 17 | 405/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 412/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Georgia Voll: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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