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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 71%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imran Ali Buttcaught · Tshering Tashi · T Wangchuk 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshering Tashi · b T Wangchuk | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Sohail Ahmedcaught · Tshering Tashi · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshering Tashi · b T Wangchuk | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · Tshering Tashi · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshering Tashi · b T Wangchuk | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Asif Alicaught · Thinley Jamtsho · D Dawa 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Thinley Jamtsho · b D Dawa | 20 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 86.96 |
| Haider Buttcaught · Tenjin Rabgey · D Dawa 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Tenjin Rabgey · b D Dawa | 68 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 144.68 |
| lbw · b T Wangchuk |
| 62 |
| 38 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 163.16 |
| Rizwan Buttrun out · Tenjin Rabgey, Namgay Thinley · Namgay Thinley 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tenjin Rabgey, Namgay Thinley | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Fiaz Ahmednot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Wangchuk0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 4 | 10.25 | 4 | 1 |
| S Pradhan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| D Dawa0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 6 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| J Singye0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Sohail Ahmed, 0.2) · 2-2 (Imran Anwar, 0.3) · 3-17 (Imran Ali Butt, 2.3) · 4-48 (Asif Ali, 7.0) · 5-143 (Haider Butt, 17.3) · 6-160 (Rizwan Butt, 18.3) · 7-175 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/2 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 12 | 25/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 29/3 |
| 5 | 12 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 65/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 72/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 78/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 84/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 93/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 105/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 120/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 133/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 147/5 |
| 19 | 19 | 166/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 175/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.