Sunrisers HyderabadversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

28 Mar 2026 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 6 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs201/9 Royal Challengers Bengaluru15.4 overs203/4 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 38%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 35% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.1: JA Duffy to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 55% to 66%.
2.6: JA Duffy to TM Head, TM Head out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 64% to 76%.
2nd inns 1.1: JD Unadkat to PD Salt, PD Salt out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 53% to 65%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad201/9 Royal Challengers Bengaluru203/4

Innings 1