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Bangladesh tour of Australia · 2026 · Men
22 Aug 2026 · Test
Recorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadman Islamcaught · Cameron Green · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tanzid Hasancaught · Beau Webster · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Cameron Green · Mitchell Starc2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Mitchell Starc | 9 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 56.25 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantolbw · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimbowled · Pat Cummins0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pat Cummins | 5 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 11.90 |
|---|
 Litton Daslbw · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Beau Webster · Pat Cummins1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b Pat Cummins | 11 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 21.57 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudcaught · Nathan Lyon · Josh Hazlewood1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Lyon · b Josh Hazlewood | 10 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 27.78 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 26 | 2 | 0 | 42.31 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmedcaught · Matt Renshaw · Pat Cummins0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Pat Cummins | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
 Shariful Islamcaught · Alex Carey · Mitchell Starc3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Mitchell Starc | 14 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 73.68 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 1.64 | 0 | 1 |
 Pat Cummins4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 25 | 3 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 1 |
1-0 (Shadman Islam, 0.1) · 2-9 (Tanzid Hasan, 2.1) · 3-9 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 2.2) · 4-10 (Mominul Haque, 4.5) · 5-12 (Litton Das, 6.4) · 6-21 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 15.3) · 7-36 (Mehedi Hasan, 24.3) · 8-38 (Hasan Mahmud, 25.5) · 9-39 (Taskin Ahmed, 28.1) · 10-64 (Shariful Islam, 34.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/3 |
| 4 | 1 | 10/3 |
| 5 | 0 | 10/4 |
| 6 | 2 | 12/4 |
| 7 | 0 | 12/5 |
| 8 | 0 | 12/5 |
| 9 | 1 | 13/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 15/5 |
| 11 | 0 | 15/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 17/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 20/5 |
| 14 | 0 | 20/5 |
| 15 | 1 | 21/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 23/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 27/6 |
| 18 | 0 | 27/6 |
| 19 | 0 | 27/6 |
| 20 | 2 | 29/6 |
| 21 | 6 | 35/6 |
| 22 | 0 | 35/6 |
| 23 | 0 | 35/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 36/6 |
| 25 | 0 | 36/7 |
| 26 | 2 | 38/8 |
| 27 | 0 | 38/8 |
| 28 | 1 | 39/8 |
| 29 | 4 | 43/9 |
| 30 | 4 | 47/9 |
| 31 | 8 | 55/9 |
| 32 | 1 | 56/9 |
| 33 | 7 | 63/9 |
| 34 | 1 | 64/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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