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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
25 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cambodia started on 21%; Cambodia batted first.
Cambodia's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hathinjarcaught · Sidharth Sankar · Usman Najeeb 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sidharth Sankar · b Usman Najeeb | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Lakshit Guptacaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Abdul Wahid 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Abdul Wahid | 62 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 137.78 |
| Luqman Buttcaught · Abdul Wahid · Zain Ul Abidin 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Wahid · b Zain Ul Abidin | 26 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 108.33 |
| E Beukesbowled · Usman Najeeb 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Najeeb | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| M Chadhanot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 16 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| caught · Manan Ali · b Ishtiaq Ahmad |
| 8 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 114.29 |
| Utkarsh Jaincaught · Abdul Waheed · Ishtiaq Ahmad 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Waheed · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Shah Abrar Hussainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 12.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Waheed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Wahid0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-46 (US Hathinjar, 5.0) · 2-109 (Luqman Butt, 13.2) · 3-113 (Lakshit Gupta, 14.4) · 4-135 (E Beukes, 17.0) · 5-152 (Salvin Stanly, 19.1) · 6-160 (Utkarsh Jain, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 21 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 76/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 80/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 89/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 96/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 108/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 111/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 119/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 125/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 135/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 140/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 152/4 |
| 20 | 9 | 161/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.