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Photo: Voyager (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
14 Jan 2024 · T20
Manuka Oval, Canberra · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 43%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Halescaught · Harry Nielsen · Cameron Boyce3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harry Nielsen · b Cameron Boyce | 43 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 134.38 |
 David Warnercaught · D'Arcy Short · Jamie Overton2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D'Arcy Short · b Jamie Overton | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Cameron Bancroftrun out · Thomas Kelly · Henry Thornton 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Thomas Kelly | 14 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Oliver Daviescaught · Lloyd Pope · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lloyd Pope · b Jamie Overton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| lbw · b Lloyd Pope |
| 16 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 94.12 |
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Matthew Short · Jamie Overton 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Short · b Jamie Overton | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Chris Greenbowled · Lloyd Pope1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 158.33 |
|---|
 Daniel Samsnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 6 | 2 | 0 | 183.33 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewbowled · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Liam Hatcherbowled · Lloyd Pope0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tanveer Sangharun out · Thomas Kelly, Jamie Overton · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Thomas Kelly, Jamie Overton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thornton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 7.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Boyce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-36 (David Warner, 3.5) · 2-69 (Cameron Bancroft, 9.0) · 3-75 (Oliver Davies, 10.0) · 4-75 (Alex Hales, 10.2) · 5-107 (Alex Ross, 15.1) · 6-125 (Matthew Gilkes, 17.2) · 7-139 (Chris Green, 18.3) · 8-139 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.4) · 9-139 (Liam Hatcher, 19.0) · 10-140 (Tanveer Sangha, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 77/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 86/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 102/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 107/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 114/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 125/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 135/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 139/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 140/10 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Liam Hatcher: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Alex Hales: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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