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Netherlands Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
15 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 53%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 1% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbi Aitkencaught and bowled · Vicky Araa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Vicky Araa | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Megan McCollbowled · V Buruka 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Buruka | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Maryam Faisalrun out · V Buruka · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Buruka | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Priyanaz Chatterjibowled · V Buruka 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b V Buruka | 32 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 103.23 |
| Darcey Cartercaught · V Buruka · Sibona Jimmy 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Buruka · b Sibona Jimmy | 30 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Vicky Araa · b Sibona Jimmy |
| 18 |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 163.64 |
| Ellen Watsonlbw · V Buruka 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b V Buruka | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Chloe Abelnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Nayma Sheikhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Buruka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Sibona Jimmy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Vicky Araa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| M Jayphert0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Pauke Siaka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-14 (Megan McColl, 3.0) · 2-19 (Abbi Aitken, 5.2) · 3-22 (Maryam Faisal, 6.5) · 4-85 (Darcey Carter, 15.4) · 5-92 (Priyanaz Chatterji, 16.2) · 6-94 (Ellen Watson, 16.5) · 7-114 (Lorna Jack, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 22/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 26/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 47/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 50/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 15 | 14 | 82/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 91/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 95/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 99/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 108/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 117/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.