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Women's Continental Cup · 2025/26 · Women
9 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Turkey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Turkey started on 80%; Turkey batted first.
Turkey's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Bulgaria: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Yildirimbowled · Katrin Srandeva 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katrin Srandeva | 25 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 75.76 |
| M Bayrambowled · Tanaya Dissanayake 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tanaya Dissanayake | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Suzan Turanlbw · Katrin Srandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Katrin Srandeva | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| ZB Enderbowled · Stanislava Sarandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Stanislava Sarandeva | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Canavarcibowled · Stanislava Sarandeva 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Stanislava Sarandeva | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
| G Kelesbowled · V Atanasova0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b V Atanasova |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| G Cengizbowled · Stanislava Sarandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Stanislava Sarandeva | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| D Tekyildirimnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 40* | 35 | 5 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| H Celikbowled · D Ruynekova 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b D Ruynekova | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| S Ozkunduzbowled · V Atanasova 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b V Atanasova | 15 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| R Cenikcaught · N Gocheva · M Zdravkova 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Gocheva · b M Zdravkova | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 30 · noballs: 12 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrin Srandeva1 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 | 1 |
| Tanaya Dissanayake1 maidens · 11 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 11 | 0 |
| Stanislava Sarandeva1 maidens · 1 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 3 |
| V Atanasova0 maidens · 9 wides · 7 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 51 | 2 | 17.00 | 9 | 7 |
| D Ruynekova0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 3 | 1 |
| M Zdravkova0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.45 | 4 | 0 |
1-16 (M Bayram, 1.3) · 2-18 (Suzan Turan, 2.2) · 3-18 (ZB Ender, 4.2) · 4-30 (K Canavarci, 7.0) · 5-32 (G Keles, 7.2) · 6-36 (G Cengiz, 8.4) · 7-73 (S Yildirim, 12.1) · 8-85 (H Celik, 14.2) · 9-134 (S Ozkunduz, 18.0) · 10-143 (R Cenik, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 18/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 30/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 34/5 |
| 9 | 3 | 37/6 |
| 10 | 7 | 44/6 |
| 11 | 8 | 52/6 |
| 12 | 21 | 73/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 80/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 84/7 |
| 15 | 10 | 94/8 |
| 16 | 3 | 97/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 106/8 |
| 18 | 28 | 134/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 136/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 143/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.